Analysis of football matches
A football team's efficiency modification throughout a season is due to numerous factors. A thorough analysis of football matches show that these factors are extremely challenging to measure. However you need to do some sort of mathematical analysis of them to improve your forecasts. The most significant factors that affect football pools results are;
(1) CURRENT FORM:
A team that's on a winning run develops much confidence and is therefore prepared to face any team in the league. Meanwhile the team on a losing run lacks the tenacity required to get a positive result. So if a hitherto poor to average side is on a good run then it will be no surprise to see it suddenly turn its fortune around by rapidly shooting up the league table. Due to this reason the league table will not be of much use for betting purposes in this instance as it reflects the team’s overall performance as against the current form. It is also important to note that some teams appear to play better on home ground while some curiously play better away from home.
(2) TEAM SELECTION:
(2) TEAM SELECTION:
Various factors might make the manager choose to field or drop a specific player. These factors consist of, disciplinary action, resting a star player for an upcoming significant competition like the FA Cup, Europa League, the UEFA Champions' League or international call-up. For effective football betting, you ought to be updated with such developments.
(3) PLAYER SUBSTITUTION:
Sometimes a manager might substitute a star player if he chooses to alter methods. Keep in mind that a replacement is naturally super-motivated when replacing a starter, so it might end up that the team's general efficiency considerably enhances with the alternative. It might also backfire!
(4) INJURIES:
Long-term injuries to star players generally have a huge effect on a side's total efficiency. Experience has revealed that players in the defence are more crucial than others as it is usually thought that in contemporary football, the defence matters more than the attack. It means that the goalkeeper and central defenders are key to winning any match. If one of these is missing then it's something a betting enthusiast must note. You should assess the importance of an injured player and the quality of his substitute. Also the importance of the team captain cannot be overemphasized. A side with a missing captain is like a ship without a master!
(5) PLAYER TRANSFER/ACQUISITION:
The transfer or acquisition of players will certainly impact the total efficiency of any team. The brand-new player might be a sharp shooter whose existence may simply increase the average number of goals scored by the team. This will improve the team’s position in the league. Likewise, a club might be ‘forced’ to sell a star player for financial reasons. In this case, the absence of such a player might create a vacuum in the attack or defence of the team. The effect will be a drop in the team’s fortunes, at least in the short term.
(6) CHANGE OF MANAGER / MANAGER'S TACTICS:
A brand-new manager brings with him brand-new techniques, ideas and concepts. If these ideas fit in with the club’s vibes, things will gel. However, if the new style does not click, the team will fail to deliver. It is interesting however to note here that generally, the new manager phenomenon usually comes into play. A football team with a new manager generally performs very well during the manager’s first few games at the club. Different reasons have been adduced for this.
(7) CHANGE OF OWNERSHIP:
A brand-new owner entering into the club in the course of the season might bring with him a great deal of money. This additional money will allow the management to purchase or take on brand-new players on loan. The players’ bonuses for certain achievements may also be improved as an instant motivation to perform to their best potential.
(8) METEOROLOGY:
For mysterious reasons, some teams appear to manage negative weather much better than others. Throughout the cold weather in the UK when numerous pitches are water-logged or snow-covered, such teams gradually progressively climb up the league table.
(9) PITCH SURFACE:
A team that is used to using natural lawn pitches unexpectedly finds itself using a synthetic surface area may discover the experience a little uneasy. Passes might not be as precise as typical and the boots' studs might not get well on the brand-new surface area, unless the ideal boots are utilized. Simply put, 'things might break down with the centre no longer holding'... apologies to Chinua Achebe (the late renowned Nigerian author)!
(10) END-OF-SEASON PHENOMENON:
A team that simply requires a couple more points to enter the UEFA Champions' League, Europa League, or a play-off area might unexpectedly begin performing beyond expectation. Likewise, the hitherto extremely weak team which unexpectedly discovers itself faced with possible relegation to a lower division might begin performing 'wonders'. This is clearly a natural inspiration to perform well.
(11) MOTHER LUCK:
(11) MOTHER LUCK:
Yes, some teams (the EPL Top 6?) appear to have all the luck on the planet, while some appear to have 50/50 referees' decisions against them.